Our Mission

Wayman Institute is an independent research organization dedicated to the study of human behavior, market dynamics, and probabilistic forecasting.

We develop applied models for pricing reality, measuring uncertainty, and extracting truth from markets.

Our work sits at the intersection of behavioral science, applied probability, and market microstructure.

We believe:

Price is information. Uncertainty is measurable. Behavior is forecastable.

Our Purpose

Markets are the most powerful information systems ever created. They aggregate belief, conviction, fear, greed, and expectation into a single signal: price.

Wayman Institute exists to decode that signal.

We study how humans behave under uncertainty, how markets translate belief into probability, and how truth emerges through price discovery.

Our work is not prediction.

It is measurement.

Our Philosophy

We do not guess outcomes.

We engineer forecasts.

We believe forecasting is not intuition — it is engineering.

Our models are built to:

• Measure uncertainty

• Quantify belief

• Calibrate conviction

• Extract truth

We do not chase narratives.

We price reality.

Our Independence

Wayman Institute operates independently.

We are not affiliated with sportsbooks, exchanges, media companies, or financial institutions. Our research is produced without external influence, commercial pressure, or narrative alignment.

Our only commitment is to truth.